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Backward bifurcation on HIV/AIDS SEI1I2TAR model with multiple interactions between sub-populations

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The HIV/AIDS model was dynamically analyzed in this study. The model has seven compartments: the uneducated, the educated, the HIV-positive who take antiretroviral therapy (ART), the HIV-positive who do not take ART, people receiving ART treatment, people with AIDS who do not receive any treatment (full-blown AIDS), and the recovered. This model takes into account the analysis of the multiple interactions between the uneducated and the educated subpopulations, the HIV-positive who take and who do not take ART. The free-disease and endemic equilibrium points, as well as the basic reproduction number (Formula presented.) as a limit condition for infection-free and endemic occurrence, were produced by a mathematical analysis. The center-manifold hypothesis was used to prove that a backward bifurcation exists. The free-disease and endemic equilibrium points coexist when (Formula presented.) This means that HIV/AIDS is still spreading. A basic reproduction number below one is insufficient to constitute a free-disease condition. In order to determine essential parameters that significantly contribute to HIV/AIDS transmission, we computed sensitivity index values using a sensitivity analysis. The HIV/AIDS model and bifurcation parameter both identified the rate of HIV transmission from uneducated individuals to HIV-positive individuals who do not receive ART as the most crucial parameter. A numerical simulation supports the dynamical analysis.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)18-31
Number of pages14
JournalArab Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences
Volume31
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2023

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
  2. SDG 5 - Gender Equality
    SDG 5 Gender Equality

Keywords

  • backward bifurcation
  • dynamical system
  • HIV/AIDS model
  • multiple interactions

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